{"id":19830,"date":"2026-02-02T11:51:12","date_gmt":"2026-02-02T10:51:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/?p=19830"},"modified":"2026-02-02T11:56:24","modified_gmt":"2026-02-02T10:56:24","slug":"esforin-market-insight-janvier","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/fr\/esforin-market-insight-january\/","title":{"rendered":"ESFORIN MARKET INSIGHT JANVIER"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

Quels ont \u00e9t\u00e9 les chiffres marquants sur les march\u00e9s de l'\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 ce mois-ci ?<\/strong><\/p>

Pour moi, le th\u00e8me principal de ce mois est clairement l'hiver. Nous avons observ\u00e9 plusieurs pics de prix caus\u00e9s par un temps extr\u00eamement froid, ce qui a cr\u00e9\u00e9 des opportunit\u00e9s de profit int\u00e9ressantes sur le march\u00e9 de la flexibilit\u00e9 en janvier. Et il semble que l'hiver soit loin d'\u00eatre termin\u00e9.<\/p>

 <\/p>

Quelles sont les raisons possibles de ce comportement sur le march\u00e9 ?<\/strong><\/p>

Les r\u00e9serves de gaz diminuent rapidement et sont d\u00e9j\u00e0 pass\u00e9es sous la barre des 35 %. Un sc\u00e9nario de p\u00e9nurie de gaz (d\u00e9fini comme un niveau de stock inf\u00e9rieur \u00e0 20 %) se dessine et pourrait, de mani\u00e8re r\u00e9aliste, se produire dans les deux \u00e0 trois semaines \u00e0 venir si les taux de pr\u00e9l\u00e8vement actuels se maintiennent.<\/p>

D\u00e8s que les r\u00e9serves tombent en dessous de 20 %, le volume de production livrable diminue \u00e9galement en raison de la baisse de la pression sur les stocks. La situation est particuli\u00e8rement tendue dans le sud de l'Allemagne, o\u00f9 les r\u00e9serves de gaz sont encore plus limit\u00e9es.
Parall\u00e8lement, les pr\u00e9visions m\u00e9t\u00e9orologiques pour f\u00e9vrier (et m\u00eame mars) indiquent une forte probabilit\u00e9 de vagues de froid persistantes et parfois tr\u00e8s s\u00e9v\u00e8res. La scission du vortex polaire dans la stratosph\u00e8re augmente la probabilit\u00e9 de vagues de froid arctique dans tout l'h\u00e9misph\u00e8re nord, \u00e0 l'instar de ce que nous avons vu r\u00e9cemment aux \u00c9tats-Unis.<\/p>

 <\/p>

Qu'attends-tu pour le mois prochain ?<\/strong><\/p>

Compte tenu de la persistance des perspectives m\u00e9t\u00e9orologiques froides et de l'approvisionnement en gaz de plus en plus tendu, il faut s'attendre \u00e0 une volatilit\u00e9 persistante et \u00e0 de nouvelles flamb\u00e9es des prix sur le march\u00e9 de la flexibilit\u00e9. Si les niveaux de stockage continuent de baisser au rythme actuel, les tensions sur le march\u00e9 pourraient s'intensifier, en particulier dans les r\u00e9gions d\u00e9j\u00e0 confront\u00e9es \u00e0 une disponibilit\u00e9 limit\u00e9e du gaz. Les conditions hivernales resteront le moteur dominant du march\u00e9 dans les semaines \u00e0 venir.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t
<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Regards sur le march\u00e9 avec les experts d'ESFORIN ! Nous avons demand\u00e9 \u00e0 Maximilian H\u00f6velhaus de r\u00e9fl\u00e9chir \u00e0 la dynamique du march\u00e9 de l'\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 en janvier :<\/p>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":19832,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-19830","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nESFORIN MARKET INSIGHT JANUARY - ESFORIN<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Markteinblicke mit ESFORIN-Experten! Wir haben Maximilian H\u00f6velhaus gebeten, \u00fcber die Dynamik des Strommarktes im Januar zu reflektieren.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/fr\/esforin-market-insight-janvier\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ESFORIN MARKET INSIGHT JANUARY - ESFORIN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Markteinblicke mit ESFORIN-Experten! Wir haben Maximilian H\u00f6velhaus gebeten, \u00fcber die Dynamik des Strommarktes im Januar zu reflektieren.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/fr\/esforin-market-insight-janvier\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"ESFORIN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-02-02T10:51:12+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-02-02T10:56:24+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Theodorah Trah\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Theodorah Trah\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/esforin-market-insight-january\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/esforin-market-insight-january\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Theodorah Trah\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/cb18cf2db18556886235206f35877a05\"},\"headline\":\"ESFORIN MARKET INSIGHT JANUARY\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-02-02T10:51:12+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-02-02T10:56:24+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/esforin-market-insight-january\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":282,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/esforin-market-insight-january\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/02\\\/ESFORIN_PowerMarket_Review_January2026.svg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Blog\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/esforin-market-insight-january\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/esforin-market-insight-january\\\/\",\"name\":\"ESFORIN MARKET INSIGHT JANUARY - ESFORIN\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/esforin-market-insight-january\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/esforin-market-insight-january\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/02\\\/ESFORIN_PowerMarket_Review_January2026.svg\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-02-02T10:51:12+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-02-02T10:56:24+00:00\",\"description\":\"Markteinblicke mit ESFORIN-Experten! Wir haben Maximilian H\u00f6velhaus gebeten, \u00fcber die Dynamik des Strommarktes im Januar zu reflektieren.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/esforin-market-insight-january\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/esforin-market-insight-january\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/esforin-market-insight-january\\\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/02\\\/ESFORIN_PowerMarket_Review_January2026.svg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/02\\\/ESFORIN_PowerMarket_Review_January2026.svg\",\"width\":100,\"height\":100},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/esforin-market-insight-january\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Startseite\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"ESFORIN MARKET INSIGHT JANUARY\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/\",\"name\":\"ESFORIN\",\"description\":\"\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"ESFORIN\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/08\\\/esforin_logo.svg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/08\\\/esforin_logo.svg\",\"width\":208,\"height\":55,\"caption\":\"ESFORIN\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"}},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/cb18cf2db18556886235206f35877a05\",\"name\":\"Theodorah Trah\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/2fe67fa6e3431997b6bcd745a190e53e9aba2231f4bf6b2f14c90d70581cff1a?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/2fe67fa6e3431997b6bcd745a190e53e9aba2231f4bf6b2f14c90d70581cff1a?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/2fe67fa6e3431997b6bcd745a190e53e9aba2231f4bf6b2f14c90d70581cff1a?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"Theodorah Trah\"},\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/fr\\\/author\\\/theodorah-trah\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"ESFORIN MARKET INSIGHT JANVIER - ESFORIN","description":"Regards sur le march\u00e9 avec les experts d'ESFORIN ! Nous avons demand\u00e9 \u00e0 Maximilian H\u00f6velhaus de r\u00e9fl\u00e9chir \u00e0 la dynamique du march\u00e9 de l'\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 en janvier.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/fr\/esforin-market-insight-janvier\/","og_locale":"fr_FR","og_type":"article","og_title":"ESFORIN MARKET INSIGHT JANUARY - ESFORIN","og_description":"Markteinblicke mit ESFORIN-Experten! Wir haben Maximilian H\u00f6velhaus gebeten, \u00fcber die Dynamik des Strommarktes im Januar zu reflektieren.","og_url":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/fr\/esforin-market-insight-janvier\/","og_site_name":"ESFORIN","article_published_time":"2026-02-02T10:51:12+00:00","article_modified_time":"2026-02-02T10:56:24+00:00","author":"Theodorah Trah","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"\u00c9crit par":"Theodorah Trah","Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e":"2 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/esforin-market-insight-january\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/esforin-market-insight-january\/"},"author":{"name":"Theodorah Trah","@id":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/#\/schema\/person\/cb18cf2db18556886235206f35877a05"},"headline":"ESFORIN MARKET INSIGHT JANUARY","datePublished":"2026-02-02T10:51:12+00:00","dateModified":"2026-02-02T10:56:24+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/esforin-market-insight-january\/"},"wordCount":282,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/esforin-market-insight-january\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/ESFORIN_PowerMarket_Review_January2026.svg","articleSection":["Blog"],"inLanguage":"fr-FR"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/esforin-market-insight-january\/","url":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/esforin-market-insight-january\/","name":"ESFORIN MARKET INSIGHT JANVIER - ESFORIN","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/esforin-market-insight-january\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/esforin-market-insight-january\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/ESFORIN_PowerMarket_Review_January2026.svg","datePublished":"2026-02-02T10:51:12+00:00","dateModified":"2026-02-02T10:56:24+00:00","description":"Regards sur le march\u00e9 avec les experts d'ESFORIN ! Nous avons demand\u00e9 \u00e0 Maximilian H\u00f6velhaus de r\u00e9fl\u00e9chir \u00e0 la dynamique du march\u00e9 de l'\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 en janvier.","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/esforin-market-insight-january\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"fr-FR","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/esforin-market-insight-january\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"fr-FR","@id":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/esforin-market-insight-january\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/ESFORIN_PowerMarket_Review_January2026.svg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/ESFORIN_PowerMarket_Review_January2026.svg","width":100,"height":100},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/esforin-market-insight-january\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Startseite","item":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"ESFORIN MARKET INSIGHT JANUARY"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/","name":"ESFORIN","description":"","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"fr-FR"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/#organization","name":"ESFORIN","url":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"fr-FR","@id":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/esforin_logo.svg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/esforin_logo.svg","width":208,"height":55,"caption":"ESFORIN"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"}},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/#\/schema\/person\/cb18cf2db18556886235206f35877a05","name":"Theodorah Trah","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"fr-FR","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/2fe67fa6e3431997b6bcd745a190e53e9aba2231f4bf6b2f14c90d70581cff1a?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/2fe67fa6e3431997b6bcd745a190e53e9aba2231f4bf6b2f14c90d70581cff1a?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/2fe67fa6e3431997b6bcd745a190e53e9aba2231f4bf6b2f14c90d70581cff1a?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"Theodorah Trah"},"url":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/fr\/author\/theodorah-trah\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19830","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19830"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19830\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":19838,"href":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19830\/revisions\/19838"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/19832"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19830"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19830"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19830"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}