{"id":19450,"date":"2025-11-07T11:52:47","date_gmt":"2025-11-07T10:52:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/?p=19450"},"modified":"2025-11-07T11:54:57","modified_gmt":"2025-11-07T10:54:57","slug":"esforin-market-insight-octobre","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/fr\/esforin-market-insight-oktober\/","title":{"rendered":"ESFORIN MARKET INSIGHT OCTOBRE"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u00a0Quels ont \u00e9t\u00e9 les chiffres marquants sur les march\u00e9s de l'\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 ce mois-ci ?
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Le passage aux ench\u00e8res \u201e day-ahead \u201d de 15 minutes en Allemagne a constitu\u00e9 un changement majeur, qui a donn\u00e9 lieu \u00e0 de nouvelles tendances de prix fascinantes. De plus, la production photovolta\u00efque entrant dans sa \u00ab pause hivernale \u00bb, l\u2019attention s\u2019est d\u00e9plac\u00e9e. L'\u00e9nergie \u00e9olienne et les \u00e9nergies fossiles sont sorties de l'ombre et ont eu un impact consid\u00e9rable sur les prix et l'\u00e9quilibre du r\u00e9seau.<\/p>

Quelles sont les raisons possibles de ce comportement du march\u00e9 ?<\/strong><\/p>

En octobre, on a assist\u00e9 \u00e0 un net \u201e renversement des r\u00f4les \u201c entre l\u2019\u00e9nergie solaire et l\u2019\u00e9nergie \u00e9olienne. La production solaire diminuant naturellement \u00e0 l\u2019automne, c\u2019est l\u2019\u00e9nergie \u00e9olienne qui a de plus en plus d\u00e9termin\u00e9 la dynamique du c\u00f4t\u00e9 de l\u2019offre. La combinaison de la baisse des temp\u00e9ratures et des premiers signes de la saison de chauffage hivernale a \u00e9galement attir\u00e9 l'attention sur le march\u00e9 du gaz et renforc\u00e9 son influence sur les prix de l'\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 et la stabilit\u00e9 du r\u00e9seau. Cette situation li\u00e9e aux temp\u00e9ratures et au march\u00e9 du gaz constituera un facteur int\u00e9ressant pour l'hiver \u00e0 venir.<\/p>

Quelles sont tes attentes pour le mois prochain ?<\/strong><\/p>

Nous pr\u00e9voyons une \u00e9volution marqu\u00e9e vers un march\u00e9 davantage domin\u00e9 par les \u00e9nergies fossiles, ce qui signifie que le prix du gaz aura une influence plus importante et plus directe sur le prix de l'\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 et d\u00e9terminera en premier lieu les co\u00fbts marginaux. Compte tenu de la production souvent volatile de l'\u00e9nergie \u00e9olienne, cela laisse pr\u00e9sager une p\u00e9riode marqu\u00e9e par une multiplication des pics de prix et des fluctuations rapides. L'intensit\u00e9 des conditions m\u00e9t\u00e9orologiques hivernales et leurs r\u00e9percussions sur les besoins en chauffage et le stockage de gaz constitueront \u00e0 cet \u00e9gard le facteur d\u00e9terminant.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Les perspectives du march\u00e9 avec les experts d'ESFORIN ! Nous avons demand\u00e9 \u00e0 Matthias Dilthey de nous livrer ses r\u00e9flexions sur la dynamique du march\u00e9 de l'\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 en octobre :<\/p>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":19452,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-19450","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nESFORIN MARKET INSIGHT OKTOBER - ESFORIN<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Markteinblicke mit ESFORIN-Experten! 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