{"id":17146,"date":"2025-07-18T13:51:03","date_gmt":"2025-07-18T13:51:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/localhost:8888\/esf\/?p=17146"},"modified":"2025-09-25T09:55:16","modified_gmt":"2025-09-25T07:55:16","slug":"si-nous-mettons-les-gaz-un-coup-doeil-sur-le-marche-actuel-du-gaz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/fr\/sollten-wir-gas-geben-ein-blick-auf-den-derzeitigen-gasmarkt\/","title":{"rendered":"Devons-nous mettre les gaz ? Un regard sur le march\u00e9 actuel du gaz."},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"17146\" class=\"elementor elementor-17146\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-120bc98a elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"120bc98a\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-464bbda4\" data-id=\"464bbda4\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6021d988 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"6021d988\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Ces derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es, le march\u00e9 europ\u00e9en du gaz a profond\u00e9ment \u00e9volu\u00e9 en raison de la pand\u00e9mie et de la guerre en Ukraine. Les march\u00e9s spot se sont certes d\u00e9tendus \u2013 le prix THE se situe actuellement entre 35 et 40 euros\/MWh (au 18 juillet) \u2013, mais ce calme pourrait \u00eatre trompeur. Les niveaux de stockage de gaz s'\u00e9l\u00e8vent en France \u00e0 68,641 TP3T sur 125,71 TWh, en Italie \u00e0 73,531 TP3T sur 202,52 TWh et en Allemagne \u00e0 53,211 TP3T sur 247,36 TWh.<\/p><p>Nous observons chaque jour comment les m\u00e9canismes du march\u00e9 et le contexte politique s'influencent mutuellement. Une question centrale se pose alors : les gros consommateurs devraient-ils actuellement constituer des stocks de gaz, et quelle est l'incidence des niveaux des stocks de gaz sur la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 d'approvisionnement ?<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2fb75fe elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"2fb75fe\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Le stockage de gaz, acteur du march\u00e9 ou filet de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 ?<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1b4521c elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"1b4521c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Lorsque les stockages de gaz agissent en tant qu'acteurs du march\u00e9, ils tirent profit de l'arbitrage, c'est-\u00e0-dire de l'achat de gaz \u00e0 des prix avantageux et de sa revente \u00e0 des prix plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s. Mais actuellement, ils ne remplissent gu\u00e8re ce r\u00f4le, car la r\u00e9glementation en vigueur les oblige toujours \u00e0 maintenir un niveau de remplissage minimum au titre de la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 d\u2019approvisionnement, qui est ind\u00e9pendant du march\u00e9. Ce conflit d\u2019objectifs appara\u00eet particuli\u00e8rement clairement lorsque l\u2019on examine les exigences r\u00e9glementaires : les exploitants doivent atteindre des niveaux de remplissage minimaux, bien qu\u2019ils ne puissent pas acheter de gaz eux-m\u00eames, mais se contentent de mettre \u00e0 disposition l\u2019infrastructure. Les \u00e9carts de prix actuellement r\u00e9alisables entra\u00eenent une tr\u00e8s faible demande dans les appels d\u2019offres de stockage en cours et, par cons\u00e9quent, les stockages ne sont pas remplis.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c7a65dc elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"c7a65dc\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Un calme trompeur sur le march\u00e9 au comptant<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f8fd79b elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"f8fd79b\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Bien que les livraisons par gazoduc en provenance de Russie soient interrompues, le GNL russe continue n\u00e9anmoins d\u2019affluer vers l\u2019Europe, \u00e0 hauteur d\u2019environ 15 \u00e0 20 %. Parall\u00e8lement, le GNL am\u00e9ricain fait son entr\u00e9e sur le march\u00e9. Mais que se passera-t-il si l\u2019UE interdit totalement le GNL russe ? Ou si la demande en Asie s\u2019acc\u00e9l\u00e8re ? M\u00eame des tensions g\u00e9opolitiques mineures, comme r\u00e9cemment la crise iranienne, ont fait grimper les prix \u00e0 court terme \u00e0 42 \u20ac\/MWh. La part plus importante du GNL rend en outre les prix plus volatils.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-12a3d64 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"12a3d64\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">L'industrie en mutation<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-187e865 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"187e865\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Dans ce contexte tendu, l'industrie tente de contribuer \u00e0 la transition \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique en rempla\u00e7ant structurellement le gaz naturel par l'\u00e9lectricit\u00e9. Mais cela est plus facile \u00e0 dire qu'\u00e0 faire. Les capacit\u00e9s de raccordement au r\u00e9seau et les obstacles r\u00e9glementaires d\u00e9termineront la r\u00e9ussite de cette transition. Dans le m\u00eame temps, nous devons nous pr\u00e9parer \u00e0 des p\u00e9riodes prolong\u00e9es de prix extr\u00eames, par exemple en cas d\u2019hiver long et de faibles niveaux de stockage. Le GNL met environ 14 jours \u00e0 \u00eatre physiquement disponible. En cas de crise d\u2019approvisionnement, cela repr\u00e9sente une \u00e9ternit\u00e9.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-d4f07a9 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"d4f07a9\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Conclusion : garder un \u0153il sur f\u00e9vrier et mars<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-05f7a9e elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"05f7a9e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Les mois \u00e0 venir seront d\u00e9cisifs. Ceux qui r\u00e9fl\u00e9chissent d\u00e8s maintenant \u00e0 leur strat\u00e9gie d\u2019approvisionnement peuvent se pr\u00e9munir contre d\u2019\u00e9ventuels pics de prix. Par le pass\u00e9, ces pics de prix se sont souvent produits vers la fin de l\u2019hiver : d\u00e8s que les faibles niveaux de remplissage des r\u00e9servoirs co\u00efncident avec une vague de froid tardive, tous les ingr\u00e9dients sont r\u00e9unis pour des prix extr\u00eames. Une chose est claire : nous devons r\u00e9soudre le conflit d\u2019objectifs entre le march\u00e9 et la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 d\u2019approvisionnement. Les r\u00e9servoirs ne peuvent pas r\u00e9pondre \u00e0 ces deux exigences simultan\u00e9ment. Il est temps d\u2019engager un d\u00e9bat franc et de prendre des d\u00e9cisions claires.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-bf1f16c elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"bf1f16c\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-a35810c\" data-id=\"a35810c\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Entre s\u00e9curit\u00e9 d'approvisionnement et logique de march\u00e9 : pourquoi nos stockages de gaz sont bien plus que de simples r\u00e9servoirs, et ce que cela signifie pour l'avenir. Un commentaire de Christoph Gardlo, directeur des op\u00e9rations (COO) d'ESFORIN.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":17303,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17146","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Sollten wir Gas geben? Ein Blick auf den derzeitigen Gasmarkt. - ESFORIN<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Zwischen Versorgungssicherheit und Marktlogik: Ein Kommentar von Christoph Gardlo, COO von ESFORIN zum derzeitigen Gasmarkt.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/fr\/si-nous-mettons-les-gaz-un-coup-doeil-sur-le-marche-actuel-du-gaz\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Sollten wir Gas geben? Ein Blick auf den derzeitigen Gasmarkt. - ESFORIN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Zwischen Versorgungssicherheit und Marktlogik: Ein Kommentar von Christoph Gardlo, COO von ESFORIN zum derzeitigen Gasmarkt.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/fr\/si-nous-mettons-les-gaz-un-coup-doeil-sur-le-marche-actuel-du-gaz\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"ESFORIN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-07-18T13:51:03+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-09-25T07:55:16+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Blog_GasMarket.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"800\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"800\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Theodorah Trah\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Theodorah Trah\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/sollten-wir-gas-geben-ein-blick-auf-den-derzeitigen-gasmarkt\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/sollten-wir-gas-geben-ein-blick-auf-den-derzeitigen-gasmarkt\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Theodorah Trah\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/cb18cf2db18556886235206f35877a05\"},\"headline\":\"Sollten wir Gas geben? 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