{"id":17094,"date":"2025-07-04T08:49:00","date_gmt":"2025-07-04T08:49:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/localhost:8888\/esf\/?p=17094"},"modified":"2025-07-04T08:49:00","modified_gmt":"2025-07-04T08:49:00","slug":"esforin-market-insight-june","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/fr\/esforin-market-insight-june\/","title":{"rendered":"ESFORIN MARKET INSIGHT JUNE"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\ud83d\udca1 Quels ont \u00e9t\u00e9 les chiffres marquants sur les march\u00e9s de l'\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 ce mois-ci ?<\/strong><\/p>

La tendance \u00e0 la baisse des prix se poursuit, puisque nous avons d\u00e9j\u00e0 atteint 400 heures de prix DA n\u00e9gatifs en 2025. 14 jours avec 6 heures cons\u00e9cutives ou plus de prix n\u00e9gatifs (pas de SDE ! Peut-\u00eatre un BESS colocalis\u00e9 ?!) Cela repr\u00e9sente au total plus de 130 heures en juin avec des prix nuls ou n\u00e9gatifs (~18 %).<\/p>

Par ailleurs, les volumes intrajournaliers ont d\u00e9pass\u00e9 cette ann\u00e9e les volumes DA aux Pays-Bas\ud83e\udd2f (le seul march\u00e9 de l'UE ?), ce qui souligne l'importance et l'attractivit\u00e9 croissantes des march\u00e9s intrajournaliers.<\/p>

Les prix des produits \u00e0 15 minutes sur l'IDC ont affich\u00e9 un prix plancher de -499,97 euros\/MWh (5e quantile %) le 21, entre 11 h 45 et 12 h 00, et le prix le plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 de 1 845,51 euros\/MWh (quantile 95 %) le 30, entre 21 h 00 et 21 h 15. L'\u00e9cart le plus \u00e9lev\u00e9, de 1 764,43 euros\/MWh, a \u00e9t\u00e9 enregistr\u00e9 le 14 entre 5 h 45 et 6 h 00.<\/p>

\ud83e\uddd0 Quelles sont les raisons possibles de ce comportement du march\u00e9 ?<\/strong><\/p>

Aux Pays-Bas, le prix suit la course du soleil, la dynamique du march\u00e9 \u00e9tant influenc\u00e9e par les conditions m\u00e9t\u00e9orologiques estivales et la forte p\u00e9n\u00e9tration du photovolta\u00efque. Les erreurs de pr\u00e9vision et les capacit\u00e9s de r\u00e9serve continueront de d\u00e9terminer le march\u00e9 et d'entra\u00eener d'importantes fluctuations de prix \u00e0 mesure que la date de livraison approche. La surmodulation du m\u00e9canisme de d\u00e9s\u00e9quilibre par la double tarification continue de compliquer le m\u00e9canisme d'\u00e9quilibrage, environ 25 % des PTU se situant en R2. L'optimisation se d\u00e9place-t-elle de plus en plus vers l'ID ? Est-ce peut-\u00eatre l'une des raisons de l'augmentation des volumes dans l'ID ?<\/p>

\ud83d\udd2e Qu'attends-tu pour le mois prochain ?<\/strong><\/p>

Avec l'arriv\u00e9e de l'\u00e9t\u00e9, les temp\u00e9ratures \u00e9lev\u00e9es entra\u00eeneront des fluctuations extr\u00eames des prix. Du c\u00f4t\u00e9 de l'offre, la hausse des temp\u00e9ratures affecte la capacit\u00e9 de refroidissement des centrales \u00e9lectriques conventionnelles, mais aussi le rendement photovolta\u00efque. Alors que la demande augmente, car les gens souhaitent climatiser leurs logements au plus fort de la courbe de Duck\u2026 Quelqu'un a-t-il parl\u00e9 de flexibilit\u00e9 ?<\/p>

Restez \u00e0 l'\u00e9coute pour d\u00e9couvrir les prochaines analyses de march\u00e9 avec ESFORIN !<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

???? Les perspectives du march\u00e9 avec les experts d'ESFORIN ! Nous avons demand\u00e9 \u00e0 Thomas Crabtree de nous livrer ses r\u00e9flexions sur la dynamique du march\u00e9 de l'\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 aux Pays-Bas au mois de juin :<\/p>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":17306,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17094","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nESFORIN MARKET INSIGHT JUNE - ESFORIN<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Markteinblicke mit ESFORIN-Experten! Wir haben Thomas Crabtree gebeten, \u00fcber die Dynamik des Strommarktes in den Niederlanden im Juni zu reflektieren.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/fr\/esforin-market-insight-june\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ESFORIN MARKET INSIGHT JUNE - ESFORIN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Markteinblicke mit ESFORIN-Experten! Wir haben Thomas Crabtree gebeten, \u00fcber die Dynamik des Strommarktes in den Niederlanden im Juni zu reflektieren.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/fr\/esforin-market-insight-june\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"ESFORIN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-07-04T08:49:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.esforin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/LinkedIn_TC_MArketInsight_June2025.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"800\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"800\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Theodorah Trah\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Theodorah Trah\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/esforin-market-insight-june\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/esforin-market-insight-june\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Theodorah Trah\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/cb18cf2db18556886235206f35877a05\"},\"headline\":\"ESFORIN MARKET INSIGHT JUNE\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-07-04T08:49:00+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/esforin-market-insight-june\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":304,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/esforin-market-insight-june\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/07\\\/LinkedIn_TC_MArketInsight_June2025.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Blog\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/esforin-market-insight-june\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/esforin-market-insight-june\\\/\",\"name\":\"ESFORIN MARKET INSIGHT JUNE - ESFORIN\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/esforin-market-insight-june\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/esforin-market-insight-june\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.esforin.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/07\\\/LinkedIn_TC_MArketInsight_June2025.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-07-04T08:49:00+00:00\",\"description\":\"Markteinblicke mit ESFORIN-Experten! 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